Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on some other scratch ticket, you treat each event as a separate event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent situation. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Beat the probability of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets when (if that must be your problem is asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately ten.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 via 10 million, which depends upon 1 chance out of 192,307.

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